How Will the Current Trade War Impact Our Economy?

Lauren Smith |


What impact will the trade war have on our United States economy? Let’s explore this common query today.

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There’s been a lot of talk recently about the trade war between the U.S. and China. With both countries having placed new tariffs on one another, many consumers in our marketplace are growing anxious. Today I’d like to dispel some of this tension by sharing some important points to keep in mind.

In 1980, China was an impoverished nation. Then, they adopted the rules and tools of capitalism and their economy began to flourish.

Unfortunately, international tensions eventually arose in the wake of this development, as Chinese companies began infringing upon other countries’ intellectual property, and the current trade war eventually ensued.

While the billions of dollars in tariffs that will arise out of these circumstances are not ideal, it’s important to realize that, in comparison to the trillions of dollars that could be lost in intellectual property theft, this trade war is not likely to be indicative of a coming recession.
 

Even in the event of an extended trade war (which is unlikely),
these tariffs are not worth losing sleep over.


 

Last year, the U.S. exported $180 billion in goods and services to China. This constitutes 0.9% of our country’s total GDP. China, on the other hand, exported $559 billion in goods and services to the U.S. This represents 4.6% of China’s GDP.

In other words, we have tremendous economic leverage over China. Therefore, even in the event of an extended trade war (which is unlikely), these tariffs are not worth losing sleep over.

If you have any other questions or would like more information, feel free to give my team or me a call or send us an email. We look forward to hearing from you soon.

 

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Any opinions are those of Jeff Green and not necessarily those of Raymond James. The foregoing information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that it is accurate or complete. Expressions of opinion are as of this date and are subject to change without notice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss Securities offered through Raymond James Financial Services, Inc. Member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory services are offered through Raymond James Financial Services Advisors, Inc. Green Financial Group is not a registered broker dealer and is independent of Raymond James Financial Services.

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